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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Asturias

Oviedo: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Oviedo (Asturias, 215,167 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
13 councillors (2023: 14) · 42.6% of the vote (2023: 42.5%) Majority 40%
PSOE±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 21.3% of the vote (2023: 24.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
5 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.0% of the vote (2023: 10.8%) Majority 0%
IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 7.5% of the vote (2023: 10.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 60% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 42.5% → 42.6% 14 → 13 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 24.2% → 21.3% 7 → 7 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.8% → 18.0% 3 → 5 councillors
  4. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 10.1% → 7.5% 3 → 2 councillors
  5. FORO ASTURIASLocal lists 2.7% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 4.5% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 1.5% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. SMPLocal lists 0.7% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. ESCAÑOS EN BLANCOLocal lists 0.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. PUM+JLocal lists 0.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  11. PCTELocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  12. ANDECHALocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 110,116 valid votes including 1,876 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Oviedo in size, in Asturias

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