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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Asturias

Avilés: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Avilés (Asturias, 75,877 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 30.3% of the vote (2023: 30.6%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 30.0% of the vote (2023: 33.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
5 councillors (2023: 3) · 20.2% of the vote (2023: 12.5%) Majority 0%
PODEMOS - IU - CXASTURIES−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 10.4% of the vote (2023: 13.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 30.6% → 30.3% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 33.1% → 30.0% 9 → 8 councillors
  3. VOXVox 12.5% → 20.2% 3 → 5 councillors
  4. PODEMOS - IU - CXASTURIESSumar, Podemos and allies 13.3% → 10.4% 4 → 3 councillors
  5. AVILÉS EN MARCHALocal lists 2.1% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 1.4% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. FORO ASTURIASLocal lists 1.1% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. PCTELocal lists 0.9% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. PUEDELocal lists 0.6% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. VERDES-EQUOSumar, Podemos and allies 2.1% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 37,781 valid votes including 847 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Avilés in size, in Asturias

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