Avilés: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Avilés (Asturias, 75,877 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 25councillors, 13 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 37,781valid votes in 2023 (60% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Avilés
Avilés is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 75,877 inhabitants, the 3rd largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 33.1% of the vote and 9 seats; PP was second with 9. 59.8% of the 63,175 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 9 of 25.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 30.6% → 30.3% 9 → 9 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 33.1% → 30.0% 9 → 8 councillors
- VOXVox 12.5% → 20.2% 3 → 5 councillors
- PODEMOS - IU - CXASTURIESSumar, Podemos and allies 13.3% → 10.4% 4 → 3 councillors
- AVILÉS EN MARCHALocal lists 2.1% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.4% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- FORO ASTURIASLocal lists 1.1% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- PCTELocal lists 0.9% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- PUEDELocal lists 0.6% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- VERDES-EQUOSumar, Podemos and allies 2.1% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 37,781 valid votes including 847 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.