Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Mieres: IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS would keep its majority

Mieres (Asturias, 36,574 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS−1
13 councillors (2023: 14) · 52.8% of the vote (2023: 55.9%) Majority 93%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 16.0% of the vote (2023: 15.6%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 13.0% of the vote (2023: 14.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.5% of the vote (2023: 5.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 7% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 55.9% → 52.8% 14 → 13 councillors
  2. PPPP 15.6% → 16.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 14.9% → 13.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 5.4% → 11.5% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. SOS MIERES-EVLocal lists 2.0% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. FORO ASTURIASLocal lists 1.3% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PCTELocal lists 0.7% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 2.3% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 18,362 valid votes including 333 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Mieres in size, in Asturias

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