Mieres: IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS would keep its majority
Mieres (Asturias, 36,574 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 93%IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS majority
- 18,362valid votes in 2023 (58% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 7% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Mieres
Mieres is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 36,574 inhabitants, the 6th largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS came first with 55.9% of the vote and 14 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 58.1% of the 31,610 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS on 13 seats, a majority, which it holds in 93% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 55.9% → 52.8% 14 → 13 councillors
- PPPP 15.6% → 16.0% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 14.9% → 13.0% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 5.4% → 11.5% 1 → 2 councillors
- SOS MIERES-EVLocal lists 2.0% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- FORO ASTURIASLocal lists 1.3% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- PCTELocal lists 0.7% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 2.3% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 18,362 valid votes including 333 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.