Oviedo: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Oviedo (Asturias, 215,167 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 27councillors, 14 for a majority
- 60%no list with a majority
- 110,116valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 60% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Oviedo
Oviedo is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 215,167 inhabitants, the 2nd largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 27 seats, and 14 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 42.5% of the vote and 14 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 7. 63.3% of the 173,940 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 13 of 27.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 42.5% → 42.6% 14 → 13 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 24.2% → 21.3% 7 → 7 councillors
- VOXVox 10.8% → 18.0% 3 → 5 councillors
- IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 10.1% → 7.5% 3 → 2 councillors
- FORO ASTURIASLocal lists 2.7% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 4.5% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.5% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- SMPLocal lists 0.7% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- ESCAÑOS EN BLANCOLocal lists 0.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- PUM+JLocal lists 0.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- PCTELocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- ANDECHALocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 110,116 valid votes including 1,876 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.