Vitoria-Gasteiz: no list would have a majority, EH BILDU largest
Vitoria-Gasteiz (Araba/Álava, 253,672 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 27councillors, 14 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 108,986valid votes in 2023 (57% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+1
8
councillors (2023: 7) · 25.3% of the vote (2023: 22.8%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 19.9% of the vote (2023: 20.1%)
Majority 0%
PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 19.5% of the vote (2023: 21.9%)
Majority 0%
EAJ-PNV−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 16.7% of the vote (2023: 19.7%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
2
councillors (2023: 0) · 8.8% of the vote (2023: 3.8%)
Majority 0%
PODEMOS, EZKER ANITZA / IU, BERDEAK EQUO, ALIANZA−2
0
councillors (2023: 2) · 4.8% of the vote (2023: 7.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 22.8% → 25.3% 7 → 8 councillors
- PPPP 20.1% → 19.9% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 21.9% → 19.5% 6 → 6 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 19.7% → 16.7% 6 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 3.8% → 8.8% 0 → 2 councillors
- PODEMOS, EZKER ANITZA / IU, BERDEAK EQUO, ALIANZASumar, Podemos and allies 7.1% → 4.8% 2 → 0 councillors
- LXELocal lists 1.5% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- EB-AZLocal lists 0.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- PUM+JLocal lists 0.4% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 0.2% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- O.E.Local lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 108,986 valid votes including 1,437 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.