Vitoria-Gasteiz: no list would have a majority, EH BILDU largest
Vitoria-Gasteiz (Araba/Álava, 253,672 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 27councillors, 14 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 108,986valid votes in 2023 (57% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Vitoria-Gasteiz
Vitoria-Gasteiz is a municipality in the province of Araba/Álava with 253,672 inhabitants, the largest of its 51 municipalities. Its council has 27 seats, and 14 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 22.8% of the vote and 7 seats; PSE-EE (PSOE) was second with 6. 57.3% of the 190,363 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: EH BILDU would be largest on 8 of 27.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 22.8% → 25.3% 7 → 8 councillors
- PPPP 20.1% → 19.9% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 21.9% → 19.5% 6 → 6 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 19.7% → 16.7% 6 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 3.8% → 8.8% 0 → 2 councillors
- PODEMOS, EZKER ANITZA / IU, BERDEAK EQUO, ALIANZASumar, Podemos and allies 7.1% → 4.8% 2 → 0 councillors
- LXELocal lists 1.5% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- EB-AZLocal lists 0.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- PUM+JLocal lists 0.4% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 0.2% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- O.E.Local lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 108,986 valid votes including 1,437 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.