Amurrio: no list would have a majority, EH BILDU largest
Amurrio (Araba/Álava, 10,281 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 54%no list with a majority
- 5,097valid votes in 2023 (64% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+1
8
councillors (2023: 7) · 41.5% of the vote (2023: 36.2%)
Majority 38%
EAJ-PNV−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 34.5% of the vote (2023: 39.4%)
Majority 8%
PSE-EE (PSOE)−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 7.6% of the vote (2023: 9.8%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 6.5% of the vote (2023: 2.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 54% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 36.2% → 41.5% 7 → 8 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 39.4% → 34.5% 8 → 7 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 9.8% → 7.6% 2 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 2.0% → 6.5% 0 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 4.0% → 3.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS, EZKER ANITZA / IU, BERDEAK EQUO, ALIANZASumar, Podemos and allies 4.8% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- AHORA AMURRIO/ORAIN AMURRIOLocal lists 2.3% → 2.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,097 valid votes including 70 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Amurrio in size, in Araba/Álava
- Laudio/Llodio17,906 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Agurain/Salvatierra5,069 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Iruña Oka/Iruña de Oca3,551 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Oyón-Oion3,408 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Alegría-Dulantzi2,960 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Ayala/Aiara2,921 inhabitants · 11 councillors