Ayala/Aiara: no list would have a majority, EAJ-PNV largest
Ayala/Aiara (Araba/Álava, 2,921 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 89%no list with a majority
- 1,502valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EAJ-PNV±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 39.3% of the vote (2023: 43.9%)
Majority 11%
EH BILDU±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 28.1% of the vote (2023: 24.0%)
Majority 0%
AIARA BATUZ±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 27.7% of the vote (2023: 24.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 89% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EAJ-PNVPNV 43.9% → 39.3% 5 → 5 councillors
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 24.0% → 28.1% 3 → 3 councillors
- AIARA BATUZLocal lists 24.2% → 27.7% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 3.9% → 3.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 2.3% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,502 valid votes including 25 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.