Legutio: EH BILDU would win a majority
Legutio (Araba/Álava, 2,017 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 75%EH BILDU majority
- 787valid votes in 2023 (52% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+1
6
councillors (2023: 5) · 48.5% of the vote (2023: 41.9%)
Majority 75%
EAJ-PNV±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 30.5% of the vote (2023: 34.6%)
Majority 0%
PSE-EE (PSOE)−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 14.4% of the vote (2023: 16.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 25% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 41.9% → 48.5% 5 → 6 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 34.6% → 30.5% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 16.3% → 14.4% 2 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 4.1% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 787 valid votes including 25 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.