Asparrena: EH BILDU would keep its majority
Asparrena (Araba/Álava, 1,637 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 99%EH BILDU majority
- 870valid votes in 2023 (68% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+1
6
councillors (2023: 5) · 62.9% of the vote (2023: 55.1%)
Majority 99%
EAJ-PNV−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 35.3% of the vote (2023: 40.5%)
Majority 1%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 55.1% → 62.9% 5 → 6 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 40.5% → 35.3% 4 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 1.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 1.6% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 870 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.