Agurain/Salvatierra: EH BILDU would keep its majority
Agurain/Salvatierra (Araba/Álava, 5,069 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 90%EH BILDU majority
- 2,333valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+1
8
councillors (2023: 7) · 56.8% of the vote (2023: 48.6%)
Majority 90%
EAJ-PNV−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 41.3% of the vote (2023: 46.2%)
Majority 10%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 48.6% → 56.8% 7 → 8 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 46.2% → 41.3% 6 → 5 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 3.1% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 0.9% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,333 valid votes including 29 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.