Zaragoza: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Zaragoza (Zaragoza, 673,010 inhabitants) elects 31 councillors on 23 May 2027; 16 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 31councillors, 16 for a majority
- 78%no list with a majority
- 331,966valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
15
councillors (2023: 15) · 37.4% of the vote (2023: 37.9%)
Majority 22%
PSOE−1
9
councillors (2023: 10) · 23.3% of the vote (2023: 26.4%)
Majority 0%
VOX+3
7
councillors (2023: 4) · 19.9% of the vote (2023: 12.4%)
Majority 0%
ZEC−2
0
councillors (2023: 2) · 3.5% of the vote (2023: 5.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (16 of 31). No list with a majority in 78% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 37.9% → 37.4% 15 → 15 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 26.4% → 23.3% 10 → 9 councillors
- VOXVox 12.4% → 19.9% 4 → 7 councillors
- CHALocal lists 4.7% → 5.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- ZECSumar, Podemos and allies 5.8% → 3.5% 2 → 0 councillors
- EXISTELocal lists 2.4% → 2.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 4.5% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- CS-TÚ ARAGÓNLocal lists 1.7% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- PARLocal lists 0.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- ZARAGOZA YALocal lists 0.6% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- ESCAÑOS EN BLANCOLocal lists 0.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- PCTELocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- PUM+JLocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- FIALocal lists 0.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- PROPONEMOS XMLocal lists 0.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 331,966 valid votes including 5,202 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.