Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Tarazona: PP would keep its majority

Tarazona (Zaragoza, 10,565 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 46.2% of the vote (2023: 45.0%) Majority 49%
PSOE±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 36.4% of the vote (2023: 38.6%) Majority 6%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 9.4% of the vote (2023: 4.3%) Majority 0%
TP - IU−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.9% of the vote (2023: 7.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 45% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 45.0% → 46.2% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 38.6% → 36.4% 7 → 7 councillors
  3. VOXVox 4.3% → 9.4% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. TP - IUSumar, Podemos and allies 7.2% → 4.9% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. CS-TÚ ARAGÓNLocal lists 1.0% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,405 valid votes including 80 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Tarazona in size, in Zaragoza

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