Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Utebo: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Utebo (Zaragoza, 18,881 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 34.3% of the vote (2023: 34.9%) Majority 6%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 21.0% of the vote (2023: 24.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.5% of the vote (2023: 11.4%) Majority 0%
FIA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.4% of the vote (2023: 10.9%) Majority 0%
IU−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.1% of the vote (2023: 9.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 94% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 34.9% → 34.3% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 24.2% → 21.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.4% → 18.5% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. FIALocal lists 10.9% → 11.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. IUSumar, Podemos and allies 9.8% → 7.1% 2 → 1 councillors
  6. CHALocal lists 2.7% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PARLocal lists 1.9% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. CS-TÚ ARAGÓNLocal lists 1.2% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 1.4% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,639 valid votes including 131 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Utebo in size, in Zaragoza

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