Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Utebo: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Utebo (Zaragoza, 18,881 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 34.3% of the vote (2023: 34.9%) Majority 6%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 21.0% of the vote (2023: 24.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.5% of the vote (2023: 11.4%) Majority 0%
FIA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.4% of the vote (2023: 10.9%) Majority 0%
IU−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 7.1% of the vote (2023: 9.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 94% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Utebo

Utebo is a municipality in the province of Zaragoza with 18,881 inhabitants, the 3rd largest of its 293 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 34.9% of the vote and 7 seats; PSOE was second with 4. 63.2% of the 13,679 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 7 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 34.9% → 34.3% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 24.2% → 21.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.4% → 18.5% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. FIALocal lists 10.9% → 11.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. IUSumar, Podemos and allies 9.8% → 7.1% 2 → 1 councillors
  6. CHALocal lists 2.7% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PARLocal lists 1.9% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. CS-TÚ ARAGÓNLocal lists 1.2% → 1.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 1.4% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,639 valid votes including 131 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Utebo in size, in Zaragoza

Every municipality in Zaragoza → · All of Spain →