United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026today Senate D 83% House D 90% Calendar Track record Research
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Polls · Iowa Senate

AtlasIntel , 1 November 2026

AtlasIntel has Josh Turek ahead of Ashley Hinson by 5 points in Iowa Senate, 51% to 46%. It is this pollster's first poll of this race in our data.

Race Iowa Senate
Fieldwork28 October 2026 – 1 November 2026
StageGeneral election
Sample1,219 (likely voters)
Method–
Release release
In our averageYes

Main

Josh TurekJosh Turek D 51
Ashley HinsonAshley Hinson R 46
Other 3
Undecided 0

Margin on the decided vote: D+5.0; after our adjustments D+6.4, which includes a move of 0.3 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 5 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Josh Turek 51% against 46%; Ashley Hinson 46% against 48%.

Photo credits

1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Ashley Hinson.

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