Polls · Texas Senate
AtlasIntel , 1 November 2026
AtlasIntel has James Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton by 6 points in Texas Senate, 51% to 45%. It is this pollster's first poll of this race in our data.
| Race | Texas Senate |
|---|---|
| Fieldwork | 28 October 2026 – 1 November 2026 |
| Stage | General election |
| Sample | 1,678 (likely voters) |
| Method | – |
| Release | release |
| In our average | Yes |
Main
 James Talarico D |
51 | |
 Ken Paxton R |
45 | |
| Other | 3 | |
| Undecided | 1 |
Margin on the decided vote: D+6.1; after our adjustments D+7.2.
Against the other polls
Against the median of the 11 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: James Talarico 51% against 49%; Ken Paxton 45% against 47%.
Photo credits
- James Talarico: Photo: Antonioaesparza, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:James_Talarico_Press_Conference_(cropped).jpg)
- Ken Paxton: Photo: Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons (https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:K_Paxton.jpg)