United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 2 days Senate D 83% House D 90% Calendar Track record Research
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Polls · Michigan Senate

InsiderAdvantage , 22 October 2026

InsiderAdvantage has Abdul El-Sayed ahead of Mike Rogers by 1 points in Michigan Senate, 47% to 46%. Since its previous poll (10 October 2026): Abdul El-Sayed −1 (48 → 47).

Race Michigan Senate
Fieldwork21 October 2026 – 22 October 2026
StageGeneral election
Sample1,200 (likely voters)
Method–
Release release
In our averageYes

Main

Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed D 47
Mike RogersMike Rogers R 46
Undecided 7

Margin on the decided vote: D+1.1; after our adjustments D+4.4, which includes a move of 2.2 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).

Against the other polls

Against the median of the 11 other polls of this race taken within a week of it: Abdul El-Sayed 47% against 50%.

InsiderAdvantage's previous poll of this race, 10 October 2026 →

Photo credits

1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Mike Rogers.

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