United States Midterm elections3 Nov 2026in 2 days Senate D 69% House D 84% Calendar Track record Research
Closest
Polls · Pennsylvania's 8th district

Emerson College , 14 October 2026

Emerson College has Paige Cognetti ahead of Rob Bresnahan by 4 points in Pennsylvania's 8th district, 52% to 48%. It is this pollster's first poll of this race in our data.

Race Pennsylvania's 8th district
Fieldwork12 October 2026 – 14 October 2026
StageGeneral election
Sample396 (likely voters)
Paid for byPoll Vault
Methodtext-to-web to voter-file sample (MMS) plus online panel interviews; matched to the Aristotle voter file
Release release
In our averageYes

Main

Paige CognettiPaige Cognetti D 52
Rob BresnahanRob Bresnahan R 48

Margin on the decided vote: D+4.0; after our adjustments D+5.4, which includes a move of 0.9 points to the Democrats with the national trend since the poll (↻).

Photo credits

1 official portrait from the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress (US government work, public domain): Rob Bresnahan.

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