Would your constituency vote to rejoin?

Start: each constituency's 2016 Leave share, Chris Hanretty's estimates for the old constituencies (the counted result where councils reported by constituency), carried to the 2024 boundaries by population. Then one change for every seat, on the log-odds scale, so that the seats together match today's average of rejoin polls (325 polls from 3 pollsters, 1 Jun to 23 Oct 2026; 64% rejoin of those choosing). A 50-50 seat moves most on that scale and a lopsided seat less.

This assumes every seat has moved alike since 2016. Some of the change since 2016 comes from new young voters and the deaths of older voters, and both are spread unevenly between seats, so university towns may have moved more and older seats less. Northern Ireland is left out (no seat estimates). An estimate, not a poll of each seat.