How well do you know the polls in the UK?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 2 for 2 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2017 election?
43.4%. See the page
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2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2015 election?
37.7%. See the page
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3At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
2.2 points per party, over 20 final polls. See the page
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4How many seats does our forecast give Conservative in the House of Commons in the United Kingdom?
148 in our projection. See the page
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5Who leads the polls in the United Kingdom?
Labour on 28.3% in our average, ahead of Reform UK on 22.4%. See the page
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6Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2017 election?
Con with 43.4%, ahead of Lab on 41.0%. See the page
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7At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Lab: 38.9% in the final polls, 34.7% on the day. See the page
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8At which election since 2000 were the United Kingdom's final polls furthest out?
2010: 2.9 points out per party on average. See the page
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9At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
Con: 21.1% in the final polls, 24.4% on the day. See the page
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10How many seats does our forecast give Labour in the House of Commons in the United Kingdom?
326 in our projection, a majority (326 needed). See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.