How well do you know the polls in Spain?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 2 for 2 November 2026.
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1In Spain, what chance does our forecast give for “Podemos wins a seat”?
69%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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2At Spain's 2023 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.5 points per party, over 22 final polls. See the page
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3At Spain's 2023 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
PSOE: 28.3% in the final polls, 31.7% on the day. See the page
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4At Spain's 2023 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
PP: 34.1% in the final polls, 33.1% on the day. See the page
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5Which party has gained most in the polls since Spain's last election (23 July 2023)?
Vox: 12.4% then, 19.0% in our average now (+6.6 points). See the page
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6At which election since 2000 were Spain's final polls furthest out?
2004: 5.0 points out per party on average. See the page
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7Which party won the most votes at Spain's April 2019 election?
PSOE with 28.7%, ahead of PP on 16.7%. See the page
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8How many seats does our forecast give PSOE in the Congreso de los Diputados in Spain?
112 in our projection. See the page
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9To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PP win at Spain's 2023 election?
33.1%. See the page
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10Which party won the most votes at Spain's 2023 election?
PP with 33.1%, ahead of PSOE on 31.7%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.