How well do you know the polls in Australia?

1. 1Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2019 election?

   Greens Coalition One Nation Labor

2. 2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Labor win at Australia's 2025 election?

   27% 31% 35% 43%

3. 3How many seats does our forecast give One Nation in the House of Representatives in Australia?

   55 63 71 79

4. 4At Australia's 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?

   Greens Labor Coalition

5. 5In Australia, what chance does our forecast give for “Coalition + One Nation 76+”?

   17% 57% 82% 97%

6. 6At Australia's 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?

   Coalition Greens Labor

7. 7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2016 election?

   34% 42% 46% 50%

8. 8To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2022 election?

   32% 36% 40% 44%

9. 9Which party has gained most in the polls since Australia's last election?

   Coalition Labor One Nation Greens

10. 10Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2025 election?

    One Nation Labor Coalition Greens

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.