How well do you know the polls in the Netherlands?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 2 for 2 November 2026.
-
1At which election since 2000 were the Netherlands' final polls closest to the result?
2006: 1.1 points out per party on average. See the page
-
2At the Netherlands' 2025 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
PRO: 15.4% in the final polls, 12.8% on the day. See the page
-
3To the nearest point, what share of the vote did VVD win at the Netherlands' 2021 election?
21.9%. See the page
-
4How many seats does our forecast give PVV in the Tweede Kamer in the Netherlands?
20 in our projection. See the page
-
5In the Netherlands, what chance does our forecast give for “PVV largest”?
11%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
-
6Who leads the polls in the Netherlands?
PRO on 18.8% in our average, ahead of PVV on 12.6%. See the page
-
7Which party won the most votes at the Netherlands' 2025 election?
D66 with 16.9%, ahead of PVV on 16.7%. See the page
-
8At the Netherlands' 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
VVD: 12.0% in the final polls, 14.2% on the day. See the page
-
9Which party has gained most in the polls since the Netherlands' last election (29 October 2025)?
PRO: 12.8% then, 18.8% in our average now (+6.0 points). See the page
-
10In the Netherlands, whose poll average has moved most in the last week of polling?
D66: down 1.0 point, now 10.1%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.