How well do you know the polls in the UK?

1. 1In the United Kingdom, what chance does our forecast give for “Hung parliament”?

   24% 39% 64% 89%

2. 2In the United Kingdom, what chance does our forecast give for “Labour largest party”?

   52% 67% 77% 92%

3. 3Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2017 election?

   Con Reform Lib Dem Lab

4. 4To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2019 election?

   37% 41% 45% 49%

5. 5How many seats does our forecast give Labour in the House of Commons in the United Kingdom?

   243 281 319 395

6. 6To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Lab win at the United Kingdom's 2024 election?

   27% 31% 35% 43%

7. 7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Con win at the United Kingdom's 2015 election?

   34% 38% 42% 46%

8. 8At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?

   Con Reform Lib Dem Lab

9. 9At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?

   1.0 point 2.0 points 4.0 points 6.0 points

10. 10Who leads the polls in the United Kingdom?

    Green Labour Reform UK Lib Dem

Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.