How well do you know the polls in the UK?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 4 for 3 November 2026.
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1At the United Kingdom's 2024 election, which party did the final polls overstate most?
Lab: 38.9% in the final polls, 34.7% on the day. See the page
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2In the United Kingdom, what chance does our forecast give for “Hung parliament”?
64%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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3To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Lab win at the United Kingdom's 2024 election?
34.7%. See the page
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4Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2019 election?
Con with 44.7%, ahead of Lab on 32.9%. See the page
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5Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2017 election?
Con with 43.4%, ahead of Lab on 41.0%. See the page
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6Who leads the polls in the United Kingdom?
Labour on 27.7% in our average, ahead of Conservative on 22.0%. See the page
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7How many seats does our forecast give Labour in the House of Commons in the United Kingdom?
319 in our projection, 7 short of a majority. See the page
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8Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2015 election?
Con with 37.7%, ahead of Lab on 31.2%. See the page
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9In the United Kingdom, what chance does our forecast give for “Labour largest”?
92%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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10At which election since 2000 were the United Kingdom's final polls furthest out?
2010: 2.9 points out per party on average. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.