How well do you know the polls in Australia?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 4 for 3 November 2026.
-
1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Labor win at Australia's 2025 election?
34.6%. See the page
-
2Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2022 election?
Coalition with 35.7%, ahead of Labor on 32.6%. See the page
-
3Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2016 election?
Coalition with 42.0%, ahead of Labor on 34.7%. See the page
-
4Which party won the most votes at Australia's 2025 election?
Labor with 34.6%, ahead of Coalition on 31.8%. See the page
-
5How many seats does our forecast give One Nation in the House of Representatives in Australia?
63 in our projection, 13 short of a majority. See the page
-
6In Australia, what chance does our forecast give for “Hung parliament”?
97%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
-
7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2019 election?
41.4%. See the page
-
8Which party has gained most in the polls since Australia's last election?
One Nation: 6.4% then, 26.0% in our average now (+19.6 points). See the page
-
9Which party has lost most support since Australia's last election?
Coalition: 31.8% then, 22.9% in our average now (−8.9 points). See the page
-
10At Australia's 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
Labor: 31.9% in the final polls, 34.6% on the day. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.