La Pobla de Mafumet: UAS-POBLA would keep its majority
La Pobla de Mafumet (Tarragona, 4,052 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%UAS-POBLA majority
- 1,792valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About La Pobla de Mafumet
La Pobla de Mafumet is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 4,052 inhabitants, the 36th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 UAS-POBLA came first with 71.6% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; ERC - AM was second with 1. 63.1% of the 2,841 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps UAS-POBLA on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- UAS-POBLALocal lists 71.6% → 69.1% 9 → 9 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 12.7% → 15.1% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 4.9% → 9.1% 0 → 1 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 9.0% → 5.8% 1 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 1.3% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,792 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.