Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Bisbal del Penedès: no list would have a majority, C - ARA PL largest

La Bisbal del Penedès (Tarragona, 4,062 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

C - ARA PL±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 38.0% of the vote (2023: 39.4%) Majority 12%
CM±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 21.1% of the vote (2023: 20.6%) Majority 0%
TSB±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.7% of the vote (2023: 19.4%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.3% of the vote (2023: 9.8%) Majority 0%
PSC±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.1% of the vote (2023: 9.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 88% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. C - ARA PLSumar, Podemos and allies 39.4% → 38.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. CMJunts 20.6% → 21.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. TSBSumar, Podemos and allies 19.4% → 17.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. ERC - AMERC 9.8% → 14.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PSCPSOE 9.9% → 8.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,767 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Bisbal del Penedès in size, in Tarragona

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