Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

L'Espluga de Francolí: SOM ESPLUGA-AM would keep its majority

L'Espluga de Francolí (Tarragona, 3,698 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

SOM ESPLUGA-AM+2
8 councillors (2023: 6) · 63.4% of the vote (2023: 54.3%) Majority over 99%
CM−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 26.1% of the vote (2023: 31.7%) Majority 0%
NOVA ESPLUGA - PSC-CP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.7% of the vote (2023: 11.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. SOM ESPLUGA-AMERC 54.3% → 63.4% 6 → 8 councillors
  2. CMJunts 31.7% → 26.1% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. NOVA ESPLUGA - PSC-CPPSOE 11.3% → 7.7% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,823 valid votes including 51 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near L'Espluga de Francolí in size, in Tarragona

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