L'Ampolla: CM would keep its majority
L'Ampolla (Tarragona, 3,563 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 53%CM majority
- 1,644valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CM±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 47.6% of the vote (2023: 52.7%)
Majority 53%
MLA-AM+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 37.6% of the vote (2023: 29.4%)
Majority 5%
AST-PSC-CP−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 16.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 42% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 52.7% → 47.6% 6 → 6 councillors
- MLA-AMERC 29.4% → 37.6% 3 → 4 councillors
- AST-PSC-CPPSOE 16.4% → 13.4% 2 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,644 valid votes including 25 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.