L'Aldea: no list would have a majority, CM largest
L'Aldea (Tarragona, 4,332 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 44%CM majority
- 2,080valid votes in 2023 (72% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CM−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 46.8% of the vote (2023: 52.5%)
Majority 44%
EA-ERC-AM+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 42.2% of the vote (2023: 33.4%)
Majority 15%
INDEPENDENTS PER L'ALDEA-CANDIDATURA DE PROGRÉS±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 9.9% of the vote (2023: 12.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 41% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 52.5% → 46.8% 6 → 5 councillors
- EA-ERC-AMERC 33.4% → 42.2% 4 → 5 councillors
- INDEPENDENTS PER L'ALDEA-CANDIDATURA DE PROGRÉSPSOE 12.9% → 9.9% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,080 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.