L'Aldea: no list would have a majority, CM largest
L'Aldea (Tarragona, 4,332 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 44%CM majority
- 2,080valid votes in 2023 (72% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 41% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About L'Aldea
L'Aldea is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 4,332 inhabitants, the 34th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 52.5% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; EA-ERC-AM was second with 4. 71.8% of the 2,896 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CM would be largest on 5 of 11.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 52.5% → 46.8% 6 → 5 councillors
- EA-ERC-AMERC 33.4% → 42.2% 4 → 5 councillors
- INDEPENDENTS PER L'ALDEA-CANDIDATURA DE PROGRÉSPSOE 12.9% → 9.9% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,080 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.