Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Pobla de Mafumet: UAS-POBLA would keep its majority

La Pobla de Mafumet (Tarragona, 4,052 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UAS-POBLA±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 69.1% of the vote (2023: 71.6%) Majority over 99%
ERC - AM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.1% of the vote (2023: 12.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 4.9%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.8% of the vote (2023: 9.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UAS-POBLALocal lists 71.6% → 69.1% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 12.7% → 15.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  3. VOXVox 4.9% → 9.1% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. PSC-CPPSOE 9.0% → 5.8% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. PPPP 1.3% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,792 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Pobla de Mafumet in size, in Tarragona

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