Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Sevilla la Nueva: PP would keep its majority

Sevilla la Nueva (Madrid, 9,361 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 62.1% of the vote (2023: 61.5%) Majority over 99%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.5% of the vote (2023: 8.9%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.8% of the vote (2023: 15.5%) Majority 0%
MM-VQ SEVILLA LA NUEVA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.2% of the vote (2023: 10.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Sevilla la Nueva

Sevilla la Nueva is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 9,361 inhabitants, the 56th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 61.5% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 66.6% of the 6,904 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 61.5% → 62.1% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. VOXVox 8.9% → 15.5% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 15.5% → 12.8% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. MM-VQ SEVILLA LA NUEVASumar, Podemos and allies 10.9% → 8.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 1.7% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,596 valid votes including 64 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sevilla la Nueva in size, in Madrid

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