Manzanares el Real: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Manzanares el Real (Madrid, 9,247 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 95%no list with a majority
- 4,838valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 95% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Manzanares el Real
Manzanares el Real is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 9,247 inhabitants, the 57th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 32.9% of the vote and 5 seats; PSOE was second with 3. 70.3% of the 6,883 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 6 of 13.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 32.9% → 33.4% 5 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 24.2% → 21.8% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 9.1% → 16.0% 1 → 2 councillors
- CUV-PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 18.6% → 15.6% 3 → 2 councillors
- MM-VQ MANZANARES EL REALSumar, Podemos and allies 6.8% → 4.6% 1 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 3.6% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- AP-FMLocal lists 2.3% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- CENTRO MODERADOLocal lists 0.7% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,838 valid votes including 80 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.