El Molar: no list would have a majority, PP largest
El Molar (Madrid, 9,437 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 97%no list with a majority
- 3,832valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 34.7% of the vote (2023: 36.7%)
Majority 3%
CS±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 20.6% of the vote (2023: 20.6%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 17.6% of the vote (2023: 21.5%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 15.6% of the vote (2023: 9.7%)
Majority 0%
MARMED±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 10.1% of the vote (2023: 10.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 36.7% → 34.7% 5 → 5 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 20.6% → 20.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 21.5% → 17.6% 3 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 9.7% → 15.6% 1 → 2 councillors
- MARMEDLocal lists 10.1% → 10.1% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,832 valid votes including 54 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.