Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Soto del Real: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Soto del Real (Madrid, 9,188 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 41.3% of the vote (2023: 44.6%) Majority 24%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 33.5% of the vote (2023: 33.8%) Majority 1%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 19.3% of the vote (2023: 11.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 75% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 44.6% → 41.3% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 33.8% → 33.5% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.8% → 19.3% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 2.4% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. MM-VQ SOTO DEL REALSumar, Podemos and allies 3.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 3.0% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,235 valid votes including 78 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Soto del Real in size, in Madrid

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