Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

San Martín de Valdeiglesias: no list would have a majority, PP largest

San Martín de Valdeiglesias (Madrid, 8,812 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 45.0% of the vote (2023: 44.7%) Majority 44%
PSOE±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 39.4% of the vote (2023: 42.5%) Majority 13%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.0% of the vote (2023: 4.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 43% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 44.7% → 45.0% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 42.5% → 39.4% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 4.9% → 10.0% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. CONVIVENCIA POR SAN MARTÍN DE VALDEIGLESIAS ( IU -Sumar, Podemos and allies 5.6% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,204 valid votes including 96 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near San Martín de Valdeiglesias in size, in Madrid

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