Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Hoyo de Manzanares: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Hoyo de Manzanares (Madrid, 8,811 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 38.7% of the vote (2023: 39.2%) Majority 27%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 24.5% of the vote (2023: 27.7%) Majority 1%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 22.5% of the vote (2023: 14.3%) Majority 0%
MM-VQ HOYO DE MANZANARES−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.6% of the vote (2023: 7.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 72% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 39.2% → 38.7% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 27.7% → 24.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 14.3% → 22.5% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. UXHLocal lists 4.6% → 4.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. MM-VQ HOYO DE MANZANARESSumar, Podemos and allies 7.0% → 4.6% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 5.1% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,781 valid votes including 101 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Hoyo de Manzanares in size, in Madrid

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