Colmenar de Oreja: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Colmenar de Oreja (Madrid, 8,462 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 4,015valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 28.8% of the vote (2023: 30.3%)
Majority under 1%
PSOE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 19.8% of the vote (2023: 23.5%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 19.0% of the vote (2023: 12.2%)
Majority 0%
ICDEO±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 13.3% of the vote (2023: 13.1%)
Majority 0%
PDC±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 8.5% of the vote (2023: 8.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 30.3% → 28.8% 5 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 23.5% → 19.8% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 12.2% → 19.0% 2 → 3 councillors
- ICDEOLocal lists 13.1% → 13.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- PDCLocal lists 8.3% → 8.5% 1 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 4.1% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- AURELIALocal lists 3.8% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 3.0% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,015 valid votes including 68 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.