Colmenar de Oreja: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Colmenar de Oreja (Madrid, 8,462 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 4,015valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Colmenar de Oreja
Colmenar de Oreja is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 8,462 inhabitants, the 62nd largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 30.3% of the vote and 5 seats; PSOE was second with 3. 60.8% of the 6,600 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 13.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 30.3% → 28.8% 5 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 23.5% → 19.8% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 12.2% → 19.0% 2 → 3 councillors
- ICDEOLocal lists 13.1% → 13.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- PDCLocal lists 8.3% → 8.5% 1 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 4.1% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- AURELIALocal lists 3.8% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 3.0% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,015 valid votes including 68 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.