El Molar: no list would have a majority, PP largest
El Molar (Madrid, 9,437 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 97%no list with a majority
- 3,832valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About El Molar
El Molar is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 9,437 inhabitants, the 55th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 36.7% of the vote and 5 seats; PSOE was second with 3. 63.5% of the 6,038 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 13.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 36.7% → 34.7% 5 → 5 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 20.6% → 20.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 21.5% → 17.6% 3 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 9.7% → 15.6% 1 → 2 councillors
- MARMEDLocal lists 10.1% → 10.1% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,832 valid votes including 54 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.