Fresnedillas de la Oliva: PF would keep its majority
Fresnedillas de la Oliva (Madrid, 1,784 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 61%PF majority
- 892valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 39% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Fresnedillas de la Oliva
Fresnedillas de la Oliva is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 1,784 inhabitants, the 118th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PF came first with 45.7% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; FA was second with 2. 75.7% of the 1,178 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PF on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 61% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PFLocal lists 45.7% → 45.0% 5 → 5 councillors
- FALocal lists 25.0% → 24.6% 2 → 2 councillors
- SFLocal lists 20.7% → 20.4% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 2.8% → 6.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 3.5% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 1.2% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 892 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.