Rascafría: no list would have a majority, VOX largest
Rascafría (Madrid, 1,736 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 51%no list with a majority
- 953valid votes in 2023 (72% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
VOX+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 41.0% of the vote (2023: 31.3%)
Majority 49%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 17.0% of the vote (2023: 19.3%)
Majority 0%
CVRO±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 14.3% of the vote (2023: 14.9%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 13.9% of the vote (2023: 18.2%)
Majority 0%
SRO±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 8.8% of the vote (2023: 9.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 51% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- VOXVox 31.3% → 41.0% 3 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 19.3% → 17.0% 2 → 2 councillors
- CVROLocal lists 14.9% → 14.3% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 18.2% → 13.9% 2 → 1 councillors
- SROLocal lists 9.2% → 8.8% 1 → 1 councillors
- RASCAFRIA ENTRE TODOSLocal lists 4.2% → 4.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 953 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.