Rascafría: no list would have a majority, VOX largest
Rascafría (Madrid, 1,736 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 51%no list with a majority
- 953valid votes in 2023 (72% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 51% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Rascafría
Rascafría is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 1,736 inhabitants, the 121st largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 VOX came first with 31.3% of the vote and 3 seats; PP was second with 2. 72.3% of the 1,318 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: VOX would be largest on 4 of 9.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- VOXVox 31.3% → 41.0% 3 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 19.3% → 17.0% 2 → 2 councillors
- CVROLocal lists 14.9% → 14.3% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 18.2% → 13.9% 2 → 1 councillors
- SROLocal lists 9.2% → 8.8% 1 → 1 councillors
- RASCAFRIA ENTRE TODOSLocal lists 4.2% → 4.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 953 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.