Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Belmonte de Tajo: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Belmonte de Tajo (Madrid, 1,769 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 38.6% of the vote (2023: 39.9%) Majority 10%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 32.5% of the vote (2023: 36.7%) Majority 1%
SB±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.4% of the vote (2023: 16.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 11.3% of the vote (2023: 6.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 89% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Belmonte de Tajo

Belmonte de Tajo is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 1,769 inhabitants, the 120th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 39.9% of the vote and 4 seats; PSOE was second with 4. 74.4% of the 1,410 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 39.9% → 38.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 36.7% → 32.5% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. SBLocal lists 16.0% → 16.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 6.1% → 11.3% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,049 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Belmonte de Tajo in size, in Madrid

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