Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Batres: PP would keep its majority

Batres (Madrid, 1,823 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 47.0% of the vote (2023: 48.4%) Majority 71%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 22.9% of the vote (2023: 15.1%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.8% of the vote (2023: 22.3%) Majority 0%
IU - PODEMOS - AV−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 11.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 29% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 48.4% → 47.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. VOXVox 15.1% → 22.9% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 22.3% → 18.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 11.0% → 8.0% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,009 valid votes including 33 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Batres in size, in Madrid

Every municipality in Madrid → · All of Spain →